Association between tetracycline consumption and tetracycline resistance in escherichia coli from healthy danish slaughter pigs
FOODBORNE PATHOGENS AND DISEASEVolume 6, Number 1, 2009ª Mary Ann Liebert, Inc. DOI: 10.1089=fpd.2008.0152
Association Between Tetracycline Consumption
and Tetracycline Resistance in Escherichia coli
Antonio Roberto Vieira,1,2 Hans Houe,2 Henrik C. Wegener,1
Danilo M.A. Lo Fo Wong,3 and Hanne-Dorthe Emborg1
It has been recognized that exposure to antimicrobial agents can exert a selective pressure for the emergenceof antimicrobial resistance. The objective of this study was to investigate an association between theprobability of isolating a tetracycline-resistant Escherichia coli isolate from the intestinal tract of healthy pigsand patterns of tetracycline consumption in the herds of origin, together with other risk factors. Data onantimicrobial resistance, antimicrobial consumption, and pig herd demographics were obtained from dif-ferent Danish surveillance programs. Descriptive statistics were performed for the risk factors in relation tothe susceptibility status. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors with significanteffect on the log odds of tetracycline resistance of E. coli isolates. The model showed that an increase in theinterval between last prescription and sampling date would decrease the probability of isolating a resistantE. coli isolate ( p-value ¼ 0.01). Also, a direct association between treatment incidence rate in a herd andprobability of resistance was detected ( p-value ¼ 0.03). Other risk factors found to have a significant effect inthe isolate susceptibility status were number of produced animals in the year and year of sampling. Otherantimicrobial consumption risk factors, such as number of prescriptions and amount prescribed, althoughnot included in the final model, presented indirect impact in the tetracycline resistance probability. From thisstudy, we can infer that tetracycline usage, the time span between last treatment and sampling date, togetherwith herd size and the proportion of animals being treated in a herd, increase the probability of obtaining aresistant isolate.
ing from higher healthcare costs up to increase inmortality rate due to treatment failure (Cohen,
Antimicrobials can be broadly defined as 1992,1994;Wiseetal.,1998).Itisrecognizedthat
substances that can destroy or inhibit the
exposure to antimicrobial agents can exert a se-
growth of other microorganisms. In the veteri-
lective pressure for the emergence of resistance,
nary field, antimicrobials are used for treatment,
and a major risk factor for the development of
prevention, and control of infectious diseases in
resistance is thought to be misuse and overuse
animal production. However, resistance to an-
of antimicrobial drugs (Aarestrup et al., 2000a,
timicrobials was observed soon after their usage
2000b; Witte, 2000; Aarestrup, 2005). It has
was introduced, and this has been a matter of
resulted in several risk management strate-
public health concern, with consequences rang-
gies being developed and partly implemented
1National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Søborg, Denmark.
2Faculty of Life Science, University of Copenhagen, Frederiksberg, Denmark.
3World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
worldwide in order to attempt to limit the
microbial resistance. In particular, it is important
emergence and spread of resistant bacteria in the
in order to be able to conduct risk assessments
food production chain (World Health Organi-
and to make recommendations on antimicro-
bial administration strategies to minimize the
The association between antimicrobial con-
impact of antimicrobial consumption on the
sumption and the occurrence of resistance to a
development of resistance. The objective of this
given drug has been difficult to establish for
study was to quantify the correlation between
a variety of reasons, mainly because resis-
tetracycline consumption at herd level and
tance is an evolutionary and biologically com-
occurrence of resistance in commensal E. coli
plex process and because detailed data on
isolated from slaughter pigs, by detecting sig-
antimicrobial consumption and resistance are
nificant risk factors on antimicrobial usage.
necessary to investigate the problem in detail(Fluit et al., 2006). Surveillance systems for
antimicrobial resistance among veterinary iso-
lates have been developed in a number ofcountries (Marano et al., 2000; EFSA, 2008).
The Danish Veterinary Medicines Statistics
However, only Denmark currently presents a
Program (VetStat) was created with the purpose
fully developed and established antimicrobial
of monitoring antimicrobial usage in production
animals. It includes all the data obtained from
(Stege et al., 2003). This program was first im-
pharmacies, veterinary prescriptions, and also
from preparation of medicated feed-by-feed
its objectives was the provision of data for
mills, including information on active sub-
pharmaco-epidemiological research. Later, sev-
stances, amounts, target species, age group, and
eral years of antimicrobial consumption data
diagnosis, as well as herd identification number
were collected, making possible investigations
(Stege et al., 2003). These data are available on
on the risk factors impacting the association
animal species at herd level and can be used to
between antimicrobial consumption and resis-
calculate the prescription frequency and the
amount of antimicrobial drugs prescribed to
each herd in a period of time. Measuring anti-
antimicrobial classes used in the Danish pig
microbial usage in terms of weight of active
production. In 2005, a total of 12,446 kg was
substance naturally has limitations due to dif-
prescribed for slaughter pigs in Denmark,
ferences in antimicrobial groups and in their
making tetracycline one of the priority drugs on
potency and, therefore, dosages are needed as
antimicrobial consumption behavior studies
standard measures. Since there is no defined
(DANMAP, 2005). At the same time, tetracy-
daily dose in veterinary medicine, the veterinary
cline resistance levels have been increasing over
equivalent, defined animal daily dose (ADD)
the past few years. Resistance to tetracyclines
was used in the VetStat system to standardize
among Escherichia coli has peaked in 2004, when
antimicrobial consumption and allow compari-
44% of the pig isolates presented phenotypical
son between different antimicrobial compounds
resistance. Fecal E. coli are often used for epide-
and age groups. To each antimicrobial agent,
miological studies on antimicrobial resistance in
ADD was defined as the average maintenance
the food chain due to their tendency to easily
dose for the main indication, and calculated for
develop antimicrobial resistance, their ability to
each age group within each animal species
transfer resistance genes, and their potential
to work as a resistance source (Turnidge and
The number of slaughter pigs in each herd was
calculated using data from the Danish Ser-
Food safety concerns often include the anti-
ological Salmonella Surveillance Program on
microbial resistance issue, and epidemiological
pigs. This database provided by the Danish
research is needed in order to improve the
slaughterhouses presented the accurate number
understanding of the association between anti-
of slaughter pigs delivered by each registered
microbial consumption and occurrence of anti-
TETRACYCLINE CONSUMPTION AND RESISTANCE AMONG E. COLI FROM PIGS
ferent size categories, according to the number of
by this study was the Danish Integrated Anti-
animals slaughtered per year (Table 1). Cutpoints
microbial Resistance Monitoring and Research
used to determine the four categories were based
on data from the herd size distribution of the
represents a close collaboration between veteri-
nary, food, and human health authorities in order
to provide comparable data to investigate trends
identification number that allows the fully inte-
of antimicrobial resistance, monitor consumption
gration of data on antimicrobial consumption
of antimicrobials, and explore associations be-
and resistance (Bager, 2000). For each herd,
tween usage and occurrence of resistance at na-
information on tetracycline prescriptions for
tional and regional levels. Samples are collected
slaughter pigs was extracted from the VetStat
from animals, foodstuffs, and humans. For pigs,
database and combined with the results of the
cecal contents are collected by meat inspection
susceptibility testing. For each prescription, the
staff at the slaughterhouses and submitted for
herd identifier, prescribed tetracycline, date of
isolation and susceptibility testing. Only one
prescription, the amount prescribed, adminis-
sample per herd is collected in any sampling
tration route, and the calculated ADD were
occasion. E. coli was isolated by direct inocula-
used. Since the VetStat database has the anti-
tion of the material onto Drigalski plates (Statens
microbials classified based on their anatomical
Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark) and in-
therapeutic chemical veterinary classification
cubation at 378C overnight. Presumptive E. coli
system, active substances included in the group
QJ01A (chlortetracycline, doxycycline, oxytet-
racycline, and tetracycline) were summarized as
France), and red colonies were identified as E.
tetracyclines (Dahlin et al., 2001). Consumption
coli after incubation at 378C overnight. Only one
of tetracycline 12 months prior to the sampling
E. coli colony from each sample was subcultured
date was calculated for each herd as ADD. In
and susceptibility tested using a commercially
addition, the frequency of tetracycline prescrip-
available minimum inhibitory concentration
tion was calculated for the same period. Sam-
(MIC) technique (Sensititre; Trek Diagnostic
pling date was used to classify the isolate in one
Systems, East Grinstead, UK). Data on antimi-
of the 3 years included in the study, as well as
crobial resistance for each isolate are collected in
to calculate the interval between the date of
a database (Bager, 2000). The DANMAP report
the last prescription of tetracycline and the date
is published annually containing the latest ob-
of sampling (in days). In order to estimate the
served trends regarding antimicrobial resistance
number of slaughter pig-days per herd, for each
in Denmark, as well as data on antimicrobial
delivered slaughter pig a fattening period of 112
consumption provided by VetStat. Resistance
data from indicator E. coli isolates from pig
The proportion of tetracycline prescribed for
herds in Denmark were analyzed for this study.
parenteral use in the 12 months prior to samplingwas assessed and included in the dataset as per-centage of ADD and frequency of ADD pre-
scribed for parenteral administration. Last, the
Indicator E. coli isolates from pig herds in
treatment incidence rate in a herd (TI) was cal-
Denmark collected through the DANMAP pro-
culated as the total number of ADD prescribed
gram between January 2003 and December 2005
within the 12-month period prior to the sampling
were included. For each isolate, date of sampling,
date divided by the estimated number of slaugh-
herd identification, and the results of the sus-
ter pig-days per herd during the same period.
ceptibility testing to tetracycline categorized assusceptible=resistant (susceptibility status) were
available. The isolate susceptibility status was
based on the standardized MIC breakpoint for
tetracycline adopted by DANMAP (>8 mg=mL).
In addition, herds were classified into four dif-
Table 1. Description of the Explanatory Variables for the Probability of Isolating a Tetracycline-
Resistant Escherichia coli Isolate in Danish Slaughter Pigs Between 2003 and 2005
prescriptions in the 3 and12 months previous tosampling
for slaughter pigs in the 3 and12 months previous to sampling
parenteral use in the herd in the12 months previous to sampling
MIC, minimum inhibitory concentration; ADD, defined animal daily dose.
prior to sampling date. A complete descriptionof all variables is given in Table 1.
Treatment incidence rate ðTIÞ ¼ Number of
Following data collection and development of
slaughter pigs could not be ascertained were
variables, a dataset was generated containing
excluded from the analysis. Also, for eight iso-
resistance, consumption, and pig herd demo-
lates the treatment incidence rate was unrealist-
graphic data. For each isolate, the datasets con-
ically high (TI above 20 ADD per 100 slaughter
tained the results of the susceptibility test for that
pig-days at risk) or one of the prescription dates
antimicrobial drug (susceptibility status), sam-
was not available and these observations were
pling date, herd identification number, number
deleted. The categorical variables consumption,
of animals, herd size, prescribed amount (ADD),
sampling year, and herd size were analyzed
prescription frequency, interval between last
with their frequency and prevalence calculated
prescription and sampling, treatment incidence
by their susceptibility status. Mean and stan-
rate, and percentage of antimicrobials prescri-
dard error of the mean were calculated for the
bed to parenteral use (amount and frequency).
The variables consumption, prescription, and
A logistic regression analysis was performed
ADD were also calculated for a 3-month period
with the susceptibility status as the model
TETRACYCLINE CONSUMPTION AND RESISTANCE AMONG E. COLI FROM PIGS
Table 2. Distributions of the Quantitative Explanatory Variables for the Probability
of Isolating a Tetracycline-Resistant Escherichia coli Isolate in Danish Slaughter Pigs
Between 2003 and 2005, by Susceptibility Status
outcome. To avoid multicollinearity, the Spear-
2000). Also, the sensitivity and specificity of the
man’s correlation coefficients between quan-
logistic model was assessed through plotting a
titative explanatory variables were initially
receiver operating characteristic curve, and the
assessed. In case of highly correlated variables
area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.
(correlation coefficient jrj > 0.8), the biologically
Finally, the probability of resistance determined
more plausible variable was left in the model.
by each model was plotted against predictors
Remaining variables were all entered in the
in order to assess agreement between predictor
statistical software SAS (Enterprise Guide 3.0;SAS Institute, Cary, NC) was used for the anal-
ysis, and a binomial distribution and a logit linkwere assumed on the logistic regression analy-
A total of 593 isolates were included in the
sis. The repeated statement was used in order to
study. Fifty-six isolates were excluded due to
account for repeated measurements and clus-
unrealistically high treatment incidence rate
tering in the data. Manual backward elimination
(TI), lacking information on total number of de-
was used to select the independent variables to
livered slaughter pigs, or one of the prescription
be included in the regression analysis and all
dates was missing. Isolates originated from 558
two-factor interactions, as well as higher order
herds, where 26 herds were represented with 2
terms were tested during the selection process
isolates, 3 herds with 3 isolates, and 1 herd with 4
for variables presenting p-value # 0.2. The cri-
teria for keeping fixed effects in the final model
A total of 199 (33.6%) of the E. coli isolates were
were p-value # 0.05. Final model including all
resistant to tetracycline. The distribution of the
significant variables is presented at the Results
MIC values revealed a clear bimodal distribu-
tion, with few isolates having MIC values
around the tetracycline breakpoint (>8 mg=mL).
(G-o-f) test was applied to the model to check
From the MIC values, the distribution of the
for lack of data fit. Linear relationship between
susceptibility status by year was obtained. In
the independent continuous factors and the logit
2004, the highest proportion of tetracycline-
of the dependent was assessed by three different
resistant E. coli was observed with 41.5% out
methods: a univariable smoothed scatterplot
of the 176 isolates included in the study being
of the logit scale, design variables based on the
resistant to tetracycline in that year.
quartiles of the distribution, and the method of
Distributions of the categorical variables,
fractional polynomials (Hosmer and Lemeshow,
by the susceptibility status of the isolate, are
Table 3. Distributions of the Categorical
presented significant difference between the
Explanatory Variables for the Probability
means for the resistant and susceptible groups.
of Isolating a Tetracycline-Resistant Escherichia
coli Isolate in Danish Slaughter Pigs Between
strated a high level of correlation (jrj > 0.8) be-tween some of the independent variables, and
these were not included in the model. Variables
to be tested in the model were year, herd size,prescriptions in the prior 12 months, TI, ADD
prescribed to the herd 12 months previous to
sampling, and prescriptions via parenteral
route. Because of a high correlation between
prescriptions in the previous 3 and 12 months,
it was decided that variables for 12 months
would better represent the overall prescription
pattern in the herds. Logistic regression using
backward elimination resulted in the model
þ b3(TI · Interval) þ Herd Sizecat þ Yearcat
Due to the low number of repeated measure-
ments within herds, the high level of indepen-
presented in Table 3, while mean and standard
error for quantitative variables are available in
herd, and the lack of improvement in the model
Table 2. Herds with tetracycline-resistant E. coli
when accounting for repeated measurements,
presented a higher mean amount of prescribed
we have removed the repeated statement from
ADD, as well as higher TI and prescription fre-
the final model. Both continuous variables in-
quency. The mean interval between last pre-
cluded in the final model, treatment incidence
scription and sampling date appears to be
rate and interval between last prescription and
smaller in herds where resistant isolates were
sampling date, were checked for linearity in
obtained. Statistical tests unadjusted for covari-
the logits. Lowess-smoothed univariable logit
ates demonstrated that only TI and interval
plots were evaluated, and the plot for the vari-
Table 4. Final Model for the Probability of Isolating a Tetracycline-Resistant Escherichia coli
Isolate in Danish Slaughter Pigs Between 2003 and 2005
TETRACYCLINE CONSUMPTION AND RESISTANCE AMONG E. COLI FROM PIGS
able interval presented a linear decrease of thesmoothed logit over time. However, the vari-able treatment incidence rate (TI) did not pres-ent the same behavior. It showed a peak in thesmoothed logit for value between 0 and 0.2,followed by some variation and then a steeperlinear increase. Design variables based on thequartiles of the distribution did not supportconclusively linearity in the logit for treatmentincidence rate and interval nor do they rule itout. Fractional polynomial analyses were testedfor each continuous variable, and the best non-linear transformations were not significantlydifferent from the linear model. Thus, the frac-tional polynomial analysis supported treating
Predicted probability of isolating a tetracycline-
both variables as linear in the logit.
resistant Escherichia coli isolate and the interval between
Log odds of resistance was inversely associ-
last prescription and sampling, for large herds (1001–3000slaughter pigs=year). The treatment incidence rate is fixed
ated with interval (in days), meaning that an
at 1 ADD=100 slaughter pig-days at risk and year in 2004.
increase in days between prescription and sam-pling resulted in a decreased probability of col-
test did not indicate any lack of fit in the model
lecting a resistant isolate. A positive association
between probability of resistance and treatmentincidence rate (TI) in the previous 12 months was
also significant, meaning that in herds wheremore animals were treated with tetracycline, it
Due to the Danish efforts on the collection of
was more likely to obtain a tetracycline-resistant
data on antimicrobial consumption and resis-
isolate. The interaction between these two risk
tance, research assessing their association can
factors was significant and was included in the
now be performed, highlighting the importance
model. Herd size ( p-value ¼ 0.03) was also sig-
of an established antimicrobial usage and
nificant, indicating that it was more likely toobtain tetracycline-resistant E. coli isolates in thesmallest herd size category, with up to 200 ani-mals produced per year. As the herd size cate-gory increased, the probability of isolating aresistant E. coli isolate decreased. Finally, year ofsampling ( p-value < 0.01) was also significant inthe final model (Table 4).
The predicted probability of isolating a resis-
tant E. coli isolate and the interval between lastprescription and sampling is shown on Fig. 1. Due to the interaction between interval andtreatment incidence rate, the latter was fixed in 1ADD=100 slaughter pig-days at risk. Similar in-terpretation can be drawn from Fig. 2 wherepredicted probability of isolating a resistantE. coli isolate is plotted against treatment inci-dence rate. Interval was fixed in 30 days forthis graphic. For both figures, estimates for
Predicted probability of isolating a tetracycline-
herds classified as large herds, in the year of
resistant Escherichia coli isolate and treatment incidencerate (TI), for large herds (1001–3000 slaughter pigs=year).
2004, were applied. Finally, AUC was calculated
Interval between last prescription date and sampling date
as 62%, and the Hosmer and Lemeshow G-o-f
is fixed at 30 days and year in 2004.
resistance monitoring program. In this study, we
borg et al. (2007) demonstrated that the percent-
investigated the association between tetracy-
age of kilograms of pigs treated with tetracycline
cline consumption risk factors and the proba-
was associated with tetracycline-resistant Salmo-
bility of isolating a tetracycline-resistant E. coli
isolate from healthy pigs in the herds. The study
The tetracycline resistance prevalence was
showed that an increase in the proportion of
29% among E. coli isolates from herds where
animals treated with tetracycline (treatment in-
tetracyclines were not prescribed to slaughter
cidence rate) and a decrease in the interval be-
pigs within the 12 months before the sampling
tween the last tetracycline prescription date and
date. In another study, a significant difference in
the sampling date were both associated with an
the prevalence of fecal E. coli resistant to at least
increased probability of isolating tetracycline-
one antimicrobial between pig farms with non-
resistant E. coli from pigs. Also, herd size and
therapeutic usage of antimicrobials (68%) and
year of sampling presented significant associa-
antimicrobial-free farms (22%) was identified
tion with tetracycline resistance status.
(Akwar et al., 2008). However, the same study
Several studies have tried to investigate the
presented very similar prevalences of tetracy-
link between antimicrobial consumption and re-
cline resistance for herds with and without
sistance, by comparing the occurrence of anti-
antimicrobial usage. Isolates obtained during a
microbial resistance among bacteria isolated from
20-month period from adult pigs from a herd
different sources with different usage patterns of
where antimicrobials were discontinued for
antimicrobial agents. However, these are often
126 months presented a tetracycline resistance
limited by lack of comprehensive data on both
prevalence of 34% (Langlois et al., 1988). A sim-
consumption and resistance to be analyzed.
ilar study detected tetracycline resistance deter-
Many of the studies regarding antimicrobial
minants in 50% of the sampled animals in a herd
consumption among animals have been restric-
where no antimicrobials were prescribed for
ted to a reduced sample population where con-
146 months, while 71% of the isolates presented
tetracycline resistance determinants in a herd
personal interview with herd owners or drug
with regular usage of chlortetracycline (Lee et al.,
suppliers. Other studies have their limitation on
1993). These findings indicate the persistence
the homogeneity of the evaluated herds included
of resistant bacteria within the pig population,
in the study or in the incapacity to link isolates
even under less selective pressure conditions,
obtained by an antimicrobial resistance surveil-
and that the tetracycline resistance prevalence
lance program and the site where the isolate
may be co-maintained by other risk factors, in
originated from. Emborg et al. (2004) demon-
addition to antimicrobial consumption.
strated an association between the consumption
The bimodal MIC distribution helps to clarify
of antimicrobial growth promoters and the oc-
that few isolates had their MIC around the tet-
currence of resistance among Enterococcus faecium
racycline breakpoint (>8 mg=mL), and, because
isolated from broilers in Denmark. In this study,
of that, misclassification in relation to isolate
the probability of resistance to Avilamycin,
status is not expected. The effect of the signifi-
Avoparcin, Erythromycin, and Virginiamycin
cant variables must be interpreted carefully due
decreased as the time span between sampling
to the presence of an interaction term. Both in-
and the last date of consumption increased. For
crease in the interval and decrease in the treat-
Dunlop et al. (1998), farms that added antimicro-
ment incidence rate resulted in the decrease of
bials to starter rations had higher tetracycline
the probability of resistant E. coli isolates. This
resistance than farms that did not, and group
relation can also be inferred from Figs. 1 and 2,
treatments with tetracycline administered during
where, due to the interaction, values were fixed
the grower phase were associated with increa-
for the interacting variable in order to ease the
sed prevalence of tetracycline-resistant E. coli.
interpretation. Further analysis of the final
However, the same study reports high levels of
model estimates reveals a larger impact of the
tetracycline-resistant E. coli for farms where tet-
interval between last prescription and sampling
racycline was not administrated (Dunlop et al.,
date in the probability of tetracycline resistance.
1998). Analyzing Danish surveillance data, Em-
For instance according to the model, an increase
TETRACYCLINE CONSUMPTION AND RESISTANCE AMONG E. COLI FROM PIGS
of 200 days in the interval would have a higher
year. Ideally, if samples were yearly collected
impact in the reduction of the probability of re-
from the same set of herds, an analysis ac-
sistance than a treatment incidence rate decrease
counting for repeated measurements over time
from 2 to 1 ADD per 100 slaughter pig-days at
would provide useful data on the variation be-
risk. Also, the herd size effect is a risk factor of
tween sampled herds and allow better general-
key impact. According to the model, smaller
ization of the results. However, these data were
herds present significant higher probability of
not available due to the sampling strategy
tetracycline resistance. This can be correlated to
adopted by the Danish antimicrobial resistance
the larger treatment incidence rates associated to
monitoring program. Since this study is not
these smaller herds where, even when few pigs
meant to define an antimicrobial resistance sus-
are medicated, they represent a larger propor-
ceptibility status to each herd, the analysis of the
tion of the total number of slaughter pigs pro-
consumption and pig herd demographic data
was carried out with the purpose of associating a
In order to explore the scale of the continuous
‘‘past’’ to each isolate and to determine factors
independent variables, interval, and treatment
associated with the probability of isolating a re-
incidence rate, three different methods were
sistant E. coli isolate. For this reason, intraherd
used. While the quartile-based design variable
variation was not assessed, and all the conclu-
analysis suggested categorization of both vari-
sions were done based on the isolate resistance
ables, fractional polynomial analysis supported
probability, rather than on herd resistance
treating them as linear in the logit, since none of
probability. Also, we have to consider the po-
the nonlinear transformations tested were able to
tential limitations of measuring the explanatory
provide a significantly better model. The uni-
variables, such as herd size, frequency, and
variable smoothed logit plot showed a linear
amount of tetracycline consumed, at the herd
decrease for the variable interval, differently from
level and the fact that we were not able to assess
what was observed using the quartile-based de-
antimicrobial consumption at the animal level
sign variable analysis. Because the quartile anal-
for the pigs providing the susceptibility tested
ysis is not an especially powerful diagnostic tool,
samples. It leaves space for uncertainties on the
it was decided to support the findings of the other
outcome of the susceptibility tests, and a resis-
two applied methods and assume linearity for
tant isolate may arise either due to chance or
this variable. Similar discussion can be drawn for
due to the evaluated risk factors. These risk
the variable treatment incidence rate. However, it
factors can impact the sampled animals directly
shows an initial peak in the logit between 0 and
or indirectly, by increasing or decreasing the
0.2 ADDs=100 slaughter pig-days at risk. This
chances of antimicrobial consumption or envi-
was followed by a nonconsistent trend and then a
ronmental exposure to tetracycline. Still, al-
nearly linear increase in the range of 1.6–8. It was
though a sampled pig may not be one of the
of particular interest here to determine whether
medicated animals from a herd, an increase in
the initial peak in the logit was significant or
the treatment incidence or a shorter period with-
simply the result of a few isolates concentrated in
out tetracycline treatment in this herd will in-
that interval, or the effect of the interaction be-
crease the probability that an isolate from a pig
tween interval and treatment incidence rate.
Since a model where isolates belonging to that
We cannot exclude other risk factors evalu-
interval were excluded presented similar esti-
ated by this study as relevant and of potential
mates for its variables and no model was signifi-
impact for the occurrence of resistance. The
cantly better than the linear model, it was decided
model aims to find the optimal balance between
to treat the variable treatment incidence rate as
the estimates associated to the different risk
factors, and the exclusion of one or more risk
Although the model had a hierarchical struc-
factors from the final model can be attributed to
ture, it contained a limited number of repeated
model prioritization or significance hierarchy.
As an example, the number of prescriptions in
more than one animal sampled over the 4 years
each herd in the months before sampling was
and never more than one animal sampled per
not significant, meaning that it did not influence
the probability that a randomly selected E. coli
tetracycline was prescribed to a herd and the day
isolate was resistant in this model. However,
of sampling seem to play a major role in this
such a risk factor could easily become significant
in a study where interval between last pre-scription date and sampling date is not included.
For instance, even though ADD amount andnumber of prescriptions were risk factors not
No competing financial interests exist.
included in the final model, the variables inter-val and treatment incidence rate accounted for
data enclosed in those variables. From interval,
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DIAGNOSIS OF HELICOBACTER PYLORI It is very important that prior to any testing (except the blood test) for H.pylori , you have not takenany antibiotics or Pepto Bismol for one month, Losec for one week, or Pepsid, Zantac, Axid, orTagamet for 24 hours before the tests are done. To decide which is the best treatment for H.pylori , it may be necessary to do an endoscopy andtake a biopsy (a
Digital Infrared Thermal Imaging (DITI) research Here is a selection of the growing body of research supporting the use of DITI for early diagnosis of abnormalities and monitoring of healing. Here is just a small sample: Gautherie, M., et al. (1983). Thermobiological assessment of benign and malignant breast diseases. American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology , (8)147, pp